Winter temperatures are once again expected to be split between a warmer than average South and colder than average North, with colder risks in parts of the East. Temperature extremes for Fall ranged from a high of 103 on September 6th to a low of 36 on November 26th. All NOAA. Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers Almanac,said there wasnt much particularly interesting or new forecasted for the area this fall, with generally fair weather from September through October. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. Reach breaking news reporter Sam Burdette at sburdette@gannett.com or on Twitter @SuperSafetySam. The weather in Arizona in January is good. As is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 3.00" to 9.00" with localized amounts between 9" and 11" along the lower elevations of the Catalina and Rincon mountains. This update comes as Arizona sits deep in drought. The number could've been higher as there were eight days that recorded a high of 99. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.03" which ranks as the 8th driest water year to date with four months left in the water year calendar. "Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods," NOAA said. If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. If you are NOT receiving the e-mails and are a full member, your account is either expired or you need to troubleshoot. No blocking means that we will continue to get the colder air out of the west in both regions of Southern California and Arizona, but it also means much drier conditions. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 83 on the 14th to a low of 26 on the 3rd. La Nia is expected to be the main driver for the third winter in a row. Subscribe to azcentral.com today. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. So here is the breakdown If you want to fix your roof, this is the best month to do so just in-case feb/mar/apr become active again, Southern California It will modify the jet stream pattern over North America and the Pacific Ocean, extending its reach to the rest of the world. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch (0.33") with isolated spots recording up to 1.00". That's more in line with what's typically expected in La Nia winters. Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 is based on . Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high 94 on the 3rd to a low of 43 on the 25th. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 Sign Up for the Morning Brief - a weekday newsletter infused with your forecast, fun facts, articles and bite-sized nuggets to energize your day. It's not . The exception is the summer thunderstorm season where the forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. November climate data across southeast Arizona. This month a raging jet into the Pacific Northwest, which has no blocking. After a week of travel, a bout with a head cold, and a new A-fib diagnosis, hiked some beautiful country with the Britts. The March-April-May (MAM) 2023 temperature outlook favors below-normal. Thus expect the consecutive year streak of above normal temperatures to be extended to 25 years. There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded a trace of rain which is well below normal and ranks as the 16th driest November on record. Take control of your data. The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. On the 6th, the 20th & 21st and the 28th & 29th. Dry conditions prevailed from the 11th to the 14th before an upper level low moved across the area bringing scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and small hail on the 15th & 16th. WeatherTAB Flagstaff, Arizona Help C F. Rainfall amounts across the metro during the first three months of the hydrologic water year has ranged from 1.10" to 3.50". The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded just over a half an inch /0.53"/. The forecast for precipitation is a 49% chance that they will be up below normal and a 18% chance that they will end up above normal. If youre planning to visit Arizona in the near future, we highly recommend that you review the 14 day weather forecast for Arizona before you arrive. A record warm low temperature was set on the 22nd with a low of 66 breaking the record of 64 from 2016. Could Arizona be in for another dry winter, leading to even worse drought conditions? We recognize our responsibility to use data and technology for good. Arctic 2022 Summer - Coldest on Record. This is a quite a difference from a year ago when the airport recorded 13.84" of rain through the end of October. Arizona winters aren't known for being white or cold, but this is getting ridiculous. Tell us your thoughts in the comments section below, then check out how beautiful the Grand Canyon in winter is. Whether the polar vortex stays strong or weakens at some point in winter can definitely impact the forecast. While its critics say its weather predictions are essentially a flip of the coin, Geiger said in general he has been told the forecasts are about 80% accurate and are especially on target when it comes to winter forecasts. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. How do you feel about the upcoming milder, drier (especially drier than this last monsoon season, hoo boy) winter we might have? The average Fall temperature of 71.3 is 1.0 below the 1991-2020 normal. Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season Kliff Kingsbury and Lovie Smith are the latest NFL head coaches to be fired By Max Molski Published January 9, 2023 Updated on January 9, 2023 . A high minimum temperature of 59 on the 4th broke the old warm low for the date of 56 from 1946. The bottom line, according to Crawford, is this eruption isn't expected to be a significant influence on this winter's weather. Weather wise, is January a good time to visit Arizona? No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. Apr. One record temperature was set during the month. A warmer February is also possible from the mid-Atlantic states into the rest of the Southeast, Southern Plains westward into New Mexico and eastern Arizona. Questions? This is because the jet stream, or storm track, stays to the north of our area, essentially making for wetter-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest, but drier than normal conditions for the Desert Southwest. The periodical says it. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area as is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season. Ninety-nine percent of the state is experiencing some level of drought with more than half of the state experiencing an Exceptional drought, which is the worst level. Drought, wildfires, heat and monsoon storms: Arizona has seen its fair share of severe weather. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 104 on the 6th and 30th to a low of 70 on the 23rd. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.28" which is over a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 38th driest January on record, tied with 1929. The zero rainfall recorded at the International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, marked the 30th time since 1895 that no measurable rain was recorded at the official site. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. June climate data across southeast Arizona, Summer climate data across southeast Arizona. Colder air and blocking weather pattern often develop when the polar vortex is weak. The impacts from the cold plunge resulted in a multi-billion disaster, with Texas especially hard-hit. Climate Predictions 6-10 Days 8-14 Day Climate Probability Official 30-Day Forecast The above maps are from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 111 on the 16th to a low of 66 on the 5th. Get Downloadable Images and More Here. Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. January 2022 Weather Pattern Forecast For Arizona; Opposite of December 2021, But Colder, HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch /0.33"/. Rainfall amounts were mostly between 0.25" and 0.75". The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 4.13" which ranks as the 52nd driest Summer on record. A high minimum temperature of 75 on the 27th set a new daily record, eclipsing the old record of 73 from 1963 & 1989. MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. The forecast for precipitation is a 45% chance that they will be above normal and a 22% chance that they will end up below normal. Yuck. One temperature record was set during the month when the high of 85 on the 19th set a daily cool high record, besting the old record of 86 from 1966. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. There should be no reason you shouldnt be informed. Mostly cloudy. The February outlook for the area, issued by the Climate Prediction Center on January 31st, called for a 47% chance that temperatures would be above normal & 20% chance that temperatures would be below normal. The forecast panned out well for precipitation as it was drier than normal while February came in cooler than normal thanks to the average monthly low temperature being 4.7 below normal. 3. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 79 on the 27th to a low of 30 on the 15th & 17th. The temperatures in Arizona in February are comfortable with low of 11 C and and high up to 21 C.. This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS. The forecast panned out well with Winter 2021-2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. Global Warming Begins at the Poles - Ends at the Poles 2022-2024. This is the second consecutive October to be below normal. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. If you hear rain or anything is coming to the area. Katie Lawrence is a Southeast Texas native who graduated 18th in her high school class with a GPA of 4.25. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasts enhanced probabilities for above normal temperatures for the entire year. While it's true that large volcanic eruptions have historically had a temporary cooling effect on earth's climate, that's not the case for the Tongan eruption. hit 113.9 degrees F, 45.5 degrees C. Amazing. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. Spring ended on a streak of 63 consecutive days with no rain being recorded at the International airport. However, this ingredient in the forecast cannot be predicted until winter is in progress. Questions? Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 105 on May 15th to a low of 33 on March 8th. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is almost two degrees below normal and ranks as the 59th warmest February on record. Weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius from early Sept. through early Oct. 2022. Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? It's the 13th April with ZERO rainfall. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. The average temperature in Arizona in January is. Winter 2021-2022 One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. There were nine daily lows that were 80 or warmer. Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. For us across the Southwest, La Nia typically brings drier-than-normal conditions during the winter. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in February 2024.. We say absolutely! By Paul Rusnak | September 11, 2022. Editor's note: The above video aired during a previous year's forecast. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. The average yearly temperature through the end of November of 72.9 ranks as the 11th warmest on record. Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. With that being said, the colder than normal temperatures are already being felt in both regions. One of the strongest thunderstorms of the month hit the airport on the evening of the 23rd with a wind gust of 76 mph. It begins just at the backend. In long range forecast, Los Angeles is used as a base. The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. The atmosphere's response, which ultimately matters for our weather patterns, may resemble a winter without a La Nia. Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. The drought classification for the area stood at D2 (Severe Drought). Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December. Dry and warmer temperatures were on tap from the 17th to the 22nd. The Farmers' Almanac is out with their Extended Winter Outlook for 2021-2022 and is calling for a "Frosty Flip-Flop Winter". The monthly average temperature of 84.7 is just under 2 above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest September on record, tied with 2010. Winter is a great time to hike the Grand Canyon (just be careful of ice), and its also a fun time to go camping in the milder central and southern parts of the state. A couple of weak weather systems moved across the area on the 28th through 30th bringing the area another shot of valley rain and mountain snow. Weather in Phoenix in December 2022 (Arizona) - Detailed Weather Forecast for a Month World United States Arizona Weather in Phoenix Weather in Phoenix in December 2022 Phoenix Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. For the first Summer since 2010 & the sixth time since 1980, there were no record highs set or tied at the airport. An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. Fall was dry with above normal rainfall returning to the area during December. On your phone:Download the 12News app for the latest local breaking news straight to your phone. But if it weakens, that could spell a colder winter for some. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 57% chance that they will end up above normal and a 10% chance that they will end up below normal. Only In Your State reported that the state will be seeing some insane polar temperature swings this winter. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.75" to 2.50". As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! Our outlook has the highest confidence of a cold February in the Northern Plains and upper Midwest. Toggle navigation. Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. The silver lining is that when warmer weather finally does arrive, we'll be even more grateful for it. The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. March 2023; April 2023; May 2023; June 2023; July 2023; August 2023 . The stream has the latest alert links, a map of alerts and where, and articles. The new year began on a wet note when a winter storm impacted the area as the calendar turned from 2021 to 2022. The full-year 2022 figures for these figures came to $2.33 and $2.11 per diluted share, for y/y gains of 16%.The funds from operations figures are important because they fund UDR's dividend. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? Here are some temperature highlights for the month: The monthly average temperature of 61.7 is two-tenths of a degree below normal and ranks as the 24th warmest March on record, tied with 2019. February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. The La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to extend through winter for the third year in a row, bringing below-average rain and snow and above-average temperatures. It ended being the coolest Fall since 2006. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. Normal rainfall for December 0.96". Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a warmer than usual winter. The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . ajgarrison - Flickr Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. For comparison through the end of March, the current climate normal period (1991-2020) average temperature is 57.4 while the previous climate normal period (1981-2010) average temperature was 56.1. For more detailed information, click the link below. La Nia conditions can have varying effects on weather patterns around the world. Some of our favorite winter destinations in Arizona include the adorable little town of Flagstaff, the amazing Mount Lemmon in southern Arizona (the drive up alone is incredible), and mountain towns like Payson and Prescott. So, what about this month? Hourly forecast for 08.02.2022. Copyright TWC Product and Technology LLC 2014, 2023. Saturday marks the peak of the warming trend and temperatures will slowly decline throughout the next week. There were six days of triple digit high temperatures which is slightly above normal. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! Get the latest articles, videos, and news about Washington State on Flipboard. Please Contact Us. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in January 2024. What are some fun things to do in the winter in Arizona? November 2022 to October 2023 Winter will be warmer than normal, with above-normal precipitation. Alaska through Central and Northern Canada to Greenland. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. Precipitation across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 1.75" to 4.00" with the highest totals occurring north of Tangerine Road extending east from Dove Mountain in Marana to the northern part of Oro Valley. The MAIN PAGE of this website has every alert/article issued at current. Even though our winter is forecast to be on the mild side, it won't be without a few cold spells. Give Light and the People Will Find Their Own Way. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. That is 100% free to view. The 1981-2010 climate normal period was used from the late 2011 to early 2021. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 10th driest January through November period on record. Weather forecasts that start where the others stop. Detailed Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 - day/night temperatures, precipitations - World-Weather.info. That means that La Nina is NOT controlling the current weather pattern for the season thus far. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 4.80" is just under two & a third inches below normal and ranks as the 19th driest January through August period on record. And I will say, it looks opposite of December 2021s with a different atmosphere and this is for both Southern California and Arizona Weather Force so read on for details after the first paragraph . Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. Rain and snow are moving across our state as we ring in the new year. The December 2021 forecast went exactly as thought, word for word in both regions. 830 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023. With a colder air mass in place, high temperatures were in the 50's from the 12th through 16th with daily lows in the mid 20's to mid 30's from the 13th through the 17th. Click on the image to the right to see how 2022 compared to the historical record. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. We are already at 10 for Los Angeles, which shows we are on track here in the Desert Southwest with that number not even close to being a traditional La Nina. This is the 7th June on record in which the monthly low temperature did not fall below 65. US Dept of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
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