Click here to make your PGA picks Overall, the field is absolutely stacked, so this will be fun to watch, especially come Sunday. To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. Dont let a MC at the Byron Nelson (or the Masters) fool you. Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Magazine. Why not now? Some of the game's biggest names, including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Jon Rahm, have added wins. The 2007 PGA Championship was also at Southern Hills CC, with Tiger Woods winning his 13th major. As such, it will be important to trust some of the bigger hitters in the field, especially considering that the two Par-5 holes are both 630 yards or longer. Did you know RotoBaller has aPremium DFS PGA subscription? Over those 12 rounds, hes shot over par just once a three-over 75 during the second round at Augusta. His T14 at Augusta was his best major finish to date. It could play out to what the forecast expects. Bradley arrives at Southern Hills with four top-10 finishes in his last six starts, including a solo fifth in the strongest field of the year at the Players Championship. Rose finished T12 the last time the PGA Championship was contested at Southern Hills, in 2007. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. Hes played like a top-30 player in the world over the last six months by Strokes Gained, leading to eight top-15 finishes this season. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. In his past two starts, Champ has been channeling that power into better scoring, with a T10 at the Masters and T6 at the Mexico Open. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. This one feels too easy. PGA Championship sleeper picks to watch: Here's who might break out He has had hot putting streaks before too, so perhaps he can find his stroke at the right time in Tulsa. He won last years Scottish Open, beating the likes of Justin Thomas and John Rahm. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Maybe. Potential shortstop sleepers. Here is a look at five sleepers you should consider farther down the PGA Championship odds board as offered by Caesars Sportsbook. Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. At these odds, I had to throw some money down on him. Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. I know DJ withdrew from the AT&T Byron Nelson last Monday and hasn't been sharp recently, but I can't resist betting him at these odds, especially in his home state. Sleeper pick: Justin Rose, +12,500. Hovland Is still one of the best ball strikers on tour. PGA Tour: 6 Rising Stars to Watch in 2023 | Men's Journal If any of them are in the running come Sunday, I will live bet and hedge for a little pizza money to make sure I come out on top. Lets dig in and find some winners! Good iron players with good hands and (hopefully!) Cut to Wayne and Garth from Wayne's World, as excited as possible for being. This isnt the same Southern Hills where Tiger won in 2007. Woods is set to participate in the event this year; he missed it in 2021 while recovering from injuries sustained in a Feb. 23 car crash earlier that year. 2. Getting one of the best ball strikers on tour, who is familiar with the course, under 10% owned may just be too lucrative to pass up. 2022 PGA Championship Bettors' Roundtable: Favorites, Sleepers and Best In 2020, he finished second at the Scottish Open and in 2019, he finished second at the Open Championship. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. He made the most birdies (22) of any player at Augusta National, and as late at the 11th hole on Masters Sunday, the Aussie was in position to give Scheffler a run for the green jacket. Young isnt a flash in the pan either. The putter will need to get hot for him to walk away with the trophy, but he could end up in the top 10 even with a cold one. 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Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Here are a few tips. Harry Higgs has not had anywhere close to the success that Max Homa has found on TOUR, especially this year. Thank you, @golfodds, @lasvegasgolfer, @WesReynolds1 and @DBearmanESPN https://t.co/zMew5E3j0k. Viktor Hovland ($9,900) - Viktor Hovland had a strong start to the new season. You can bet all of them as winners, but some fit better into betting cards as top-10 finishers, sleepers or DFS value picks. Keegan Bradley at +10,000 and Cameron Tringale at +25,000. Early Draft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football) The four-time Tour winners history at major championships is worrisome, with his best finish coming at the 2021 Open (T-40). Count me among those who believe he has as good a chance as anyone to win this weeks PGA Championship at Southern Hills. https://t.co/uldLYRZvRh, To-win: Daniel Berger, +5,000. PGA Championship picks, best odds, sleepers to win 2021 tournament To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,800. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 betting favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational . Check out McNichol's five favorite longshot bets this week below. PGA Championship Sleeper Picks | Odds Shark This week, we shift our sights onto the Ocean Course at Kiawah Islandwhere the track measures at 7,876 yards for a par 72. the winner of the PGA Tour's Barracuda Championship in 2021 . 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational one and done picks, sleepers, purse For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. Currently projected near 10% owned, Zalatoris burned many last week. While there is a gulf of differences between the skills and mindset needed to win a major title and winning at your average PGA TOUR stop, Homas game should fit both on paper. Why is this? Mandatory Credit: Alex Gould - The Republic Were about an hour north of downtown. 1 golfer in the world, will have to face off against the rest of the world's top-10 golfers, a group that is highlighted by Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas. Where: Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida. The No. PGA Championship sleepers One sleeper McClure is targeting this week at Southern Hills is Cameron Young, who is a massive 80-1 long shot at Caesars. At The Players Championship, the understood tee time advantage did not play out and fantasy players who stacked the opposite wave made a lot of money. 2022 PGA Championship DFS Top Plays and Value Picks 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. The Florida swing on the PGA Tour rolls on this week with the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge, and golf fans will be relieved to see a loaded field after last week's Honda Classic featured just three of the top 30 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. On the one hand, it was bad: A big handful of the best players in the world ditched the tour, lured by the . The golf world has dramatically shifted since last time the worlds best golfers teed off at Southern Hills at the 2007 PGA Championship. In my case for Max Homa, I argued that while there are differences between weekly PGA Tournaments and majors, good golf will find a way to translate. He is in good form as he has finished 41st or better in 10 of his last 11 starts. For a guy who has popped up routinely throughout his career, it speaks to the quality of play from Harold Varner III to say that hes been playing perhaps the best golf of his career. Bradley doesn't excel in any of the four key categories we're looking at for this week's tournament, but he ranks top-36 in SG:APR, SG:OTT and scrambling from the rough. He's also coming into this event off of a third-place finish at the Byron Nelson, so you know he's in great form. Tiger Woods ($8,200) - Another surprise as a pivot play is Tiger Woods. Tyrell Hatton ($8,100) - Tyrell Hatton has now gained strokes putting in nine straight events. Bland fell just short of earning a Masters invite this year, so Id love to see him have a great major week at Southern Hills. Aside from digging into the data at the RickRunGood.com database and a couple of other models, I try to look for guys that have had past success at the particular course, value plays, and players that are trending in the right direction coming into an event. Southern Hills itself has changed plenty, with a renovation undertaken in that time. To have a really good day, players will need to do that and sink some puts on the greens, which may play slower than those at other majors. Sleeper PGA DFS Picks Justin Suh $6,900. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks and Predictions The putter is still not cooperating like hed hoped, but if he can get even average results on the greens in Tulsa, he should be in contention on Sunday. In his 10 starts since the Ryder Cup, Cantlay has a win and six top-10s. Either way, buckle up, because water and wind should make for plenty of drama come Sunday. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, and Rory McIlroy are among the top golfers expected to have success at Southern Hills CC, but here are three sleepers who could be making even louder noises there. At 20-1, Smith clearly presents the best value this week at Southern Hills. Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU, Congrats @tenndolly2 ?? Hovland comes both with a little more risk and a bit more value. Hatton ranks ninth in "Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green" and 20th in "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee." Gooch has the game to contend this week and certainly offers value at a number this high. It will also be good to find a player that can find success out of the rough. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. In order to score well at Southern Hills,. Sleeper pick: Davis Riley, +25,000: Riley is striping it as well as anyone in professional golf right now. For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Odds, betting favorites, expert picks & more to know, Phil Mickelson won't be participating in the event, Why Phil Mickelson will not defend his PGA Championship title, Four NFL QBs set to participate in "The Match" 2022, How a fantasy football punishment led to a 112 score at a U.S. Open qualifier. Why not Schauffele, to break the major-less streak, at +2,500? Yang, +100,000. Fantasy Golf Sleeper Report - 2022 PGA Championship List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. MacIntyre is a great ball striker who plays well in the wind. 1 Scottie Scheffler. Yang is in the field. But again, it was a good time off, but definitely enjoyed being out here more.. Shane Lowry (+2800)is fresh off a top-three finish at the 2022 Masters and looks poised to do well on this course. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 PGA. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. Max Homa celebrates with his caddie Joe Greiner after winning the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm in Potomac, Maryland. But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. These five players jump out as possible dark-horse candidates to make waves in Tulsa this weekend. Just like Noren, he finished 12th last week at the Byron Nelson, so he comes into this event in good form. Lets go with the legend himself for a DEEP sleeper. Champ: We just did stuff on my farm, on my property; I had nothing else to do. This will likely make scoring difficult and will put an emphasis on saving par. Some recency bias could be coming into play. Speaking of 2012, that's the last time we were back here when Rory McIlroy destroyed the competition. Check out some of the sleepers in the 2022 PGA Championship below. He became the oldest major winner in golf the first over 50 years of age with his two-stroke win over Louis Oosthuizen in 2021. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. That said, he has a top-three approach game, ranks 12th in SG:OTT and is a top-five scrambler from the rough. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Wevers-USA TODAY Sports. Strokes gained approaching the green (SG:APR) will also be important for this major, as will one-putt percentage. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Jon Rahm (+1100) is currently the favoriteto win the PGA Championship, according to odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Among all the betting favorites, there are several names further down the odds list you should keep an eye on this week in Oklahoma. One of those two was the champion at this venue back in 2007 a golfer by the name Tiger Woods. We had a 50-year-old win the PGA last year, so why cant a 49-year-old get it done this week? ?Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! It's always a high-class field that meets at Bay Hill for the Arnie P, and 2023 - with it's newly-minted elevated status - is no different. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Arnold Palmer Invitational Longshots Im not sure hes ready to get the job done on a major stage, but Robert MacIntyre is one of golfs up-and-comers who has been playing well of late. Sleeper pick: Cameron Champ, +10,000. Speaking of good ball-strikers and sketchy putters: Keegan Bradley! He went T-2 at the Wells Fargo and T-3 at the RBC Heritage in his last two starts. Stellar short games will be a must, and few players are better around the greens than Berger. Is it a stretch? He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. The PGA Championship produced a first-time major winner five times since 2013. Y.E. He has finished top 10 in each of his last PGA Championship appearances. Smith, Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) May 8, 2022. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. He missed the cut at The Byron Nelson at high ownership. In GPPs I like the idea of having a few shares of Woods he can grind and scramble his way around. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,800. DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Sleepers and Pivots - PGA Championship Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. Hes only made the cut in three of those 10 starts. ), PGA Tour golfers aren't the only ones who can make some starting next Thursday. Not much else to this pick, sometimes you just have to take the hot hand (hes also extremely talented in every facet of the game, so that helps). No more. He won the 2007 PGA at Southern Hills. I worry this course might be a little too long for him, but he's too good to leave off the card. He has a lot of question marks about his health and form. Hes long enough, accurate enough and consistent enough. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. Among the deluge of Camerons on the PGA TOUR, 25-year-old American Cameron Young deserves some shine. That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. You can too! To-win: Jordan Spieth, +2,000. When it comes to my betting picks this week, you won't find anything too groundbreaking here. Moneyline (ML): SE Missouri State -135 (bet $135 to win $110) | Tennessee Tech +105 (bet $100 to win $105) Against the spread: SE Missouri State -2.5 (+100) | Tennessee Tech +2.5 (-120) Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. His form in 2021 has also been inconsistent, but he finished 10th at the Arnold Palmer and 14th at Wells Fargo, so he has it in him to be in contention. Our staff also likes a few more to-win bets and sleeper picks. In his first PGA Championship in 2020, Schaeffler finished fourth with a score of -10 (eighth in 2021). The model was also all over Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Of course, Young's weakness is the all-important approach game, where he ranks 83rd in SG:APR. The PGA Tour rookie is now up to No. Sleeper pick: Keegan Bradley, +1,000. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected . Why not ride the wave early and catch Young while hes still a longshot and not offered as one of the favorites at an event like this? This season, despite only one stroke play top 10 on U.S. soil, Scott has been playing like a potential tournament winner. Over the past 12 months, he ranks third in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. Horse For The Course: PGA DFS Course History - 2023 Arnold Palmer But he is a player with whom casual fans are still not familiar. Rory McIlroy 8. Yeah, its our little oasis at home, and we love it. That means it's time to pick your optimal DraftKings fantasy golf lineup for the season's. Since 2019, the PGA Championship has taken place in May, instead of its former spot as the fourth and final major played in August. Try these Birdie Juice-flavored tee picks, Quench your thirst on or off the course with this spiked beverage, Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at Bay Hill, 1 parlay we love and picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Shriners Children's Open picks: 4 bets we love this week in Las Vegas, Sanderson Farms Championship picks: 4 bets we love this week in Mississippi, Sanderson Farms Championship odds: Presidents Cuppers among betting favorites this week, Need help computing (and paying!) He ranks top-20 in SG:APR, one-putt percentage and scrambling from the rough, so he should be a safe bet to remain in contention this week. It's his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three . Even though it's located in South Carolina, the Ocean Course plays similar to a European-style links course. The former PGA champ is 12th on tour in SG: Tee to Green, and in the midst of an impressive T8, T4, T2 run. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. Hes played well in majors before with a runner-up at the 2019 Open, runner-up at the 2018 U.S. Open, and fourth place at the 2017 U.S. Open. Fantasy Golf Sleeper Report - 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational He has five titles to his name, one more than Tiger Woods' four. Were about to have a little bit more. 2022 PGA Championship Sleepers and Longshot Picks for Southern Hills Recent PGA Champions 4. The only common thread I can find between past winners at Southern Hills is that theyre all properly good ball-strikers. He will win a major, and likely soon. I'm not going out on a limb here with Hovland, as I'm sure he will be on many people's cards this week. But recently, it seems he has turned the corner, especially when it comes to his mental game. Four top fives this season, two of which have come in his past two starts. That kind of weapon can make or break a players week at a major championship. 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship DFS Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022 The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Wilmington, Delaware for the first time in PGA TOUR history, as we head to the South course at Wilmington Country Club for potential longshot BMW Championship picks. There is a narrative brewing that around the green play will be important this week. 2022 PGA Championship picks, predictions, odds: Five sleepers who may While he has struggled on the PGA Tour, he displayed good form finishing in 14th-place at The Masters in April.