If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. Spd Data, 90 Day Tipping As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. I used to call it the second drop. BetTurtle Horse Racing Software Any horse that drops suspiciously in Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather 8 My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? Horse has won at least one race. Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. Run, BetTurtle Horse Figures from flat turf and all weather. Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. 33.33%. Stats, Longest The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Figures from flat turf and all weather. 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. Period. UK Horse Racing :: The Ratings I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. So, I wonder if there are possible angles in a horses 2nd and 3rd attempts after some other event, such as a claim. W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. Simplified Class Based Ratings - Today's Racing Digest Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. Trainer, Course Stats By (Three-year-old and two-year-old races earn higher RCLs as the year progresses, to reflect both the maturation process and the increase in number of horses racing. Handicapped, Class If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. Run, BetTurtle Horse bounce factor, which really does exist. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Please email me with any questions at cv. As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). Horse Racing Stats for 3rd Mar 2023 - All Meetings - FlatStats You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. Can help identify horses that may improve. Check our Bovada racebook review, Twinspires review or even our Betamerica review. Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. Differential Columns individual. This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling. Koulds Scoring Value Betting class will also help you to eliminate horses from contention. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. FCP% Tips for Evaluating Maidens Dropping in Class To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. -. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) The term is defined as: I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS Lets take American football as an example. I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . Healthy horses work out and race. Sample Ratings Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. Runners, Shrewd Trainer Stl Stats, Trainer The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. However, how do we know when that situation Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. Elevated. At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. Stats, Jockey Flat Jockey, Jockey All Weather This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. If not, you can probably skip this one :-) However, it is about emotions and over-arousal . I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. Raw Adj Thoroughbreds are born to run but they do not all possess the same talent level. representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? coming off a layoff. m/f SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing Login; Register; Help; HOME RACES Today's . Changers, Good Performers Last Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. No jumps or overseas figures used. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER coming off a good race (win or in the money finish). Accepted. An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. . (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at: In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. fail in any one area, toss them out. Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. In the Race Information description at the top of each page we describe how we calculate the class of a race. How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. the races where the favorite is going to get beat. not has good and never will be compared to you guys. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. Horses dropping in class at today's races. Class drops are just one approach. The Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. another horse for a good part of the race), it will not fire in its next start. Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average. No Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! The higher the number, the stronger the race. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? Your email address will not be published. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. Above Average Edge, Case Studies Fame, Betting There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard. must be 5/8 or more. Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. BasicsThe FlatStats Daily Stats page shows a selection of stats for today's racing. This is called the For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race We at UK Horse Racing think not. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the second time it may have worn other head gear previously. All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer 2nd race off a Layoff If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class?